Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.006616 0.007384 0.008219 0.009200 0.010323 0.011571 0.013070
2025-06-01 0.005336 0.006366 0.007581 0.009131 0.011070 0.013438 0.016578
2025-06-08 0.004505 0.005607 0.006974 0.008817 0.011265 0.014451 0.018983
2025-06-15 0.004041 0.005205 0.006711 0.008834 0.011802 0.015882 0.022055
2025-06-22 0.003792 0.005035 0.006705 0.009158 0.012749 0.017945 0.026280
2025-06-29 0.003429 0.004664 0.006374 0.008971 0.012921 0.018882 0.028930
2025-07-06 0.003125 0.004342 0.006072 0.008779 0.013038 0.019723 0.031516
2025-07-13 0.002916 0.004136 0.005912 0.008771 0.013423 0.021008 0.035014
2025-07-20 0.002795 0.004043 0.005908 0.008997 0.014197 0.023012 0.040080
2025-07-27 0.002614 0.003846 0.005725 0.008913 0.014435 0.024118 0.043658
2025-08-03 0.002472 0.003695 0.005599 0.008906 0.014799 0.025480 0.047944
2025-08-10 0.002323 0.003523 0.005423 0.008795 0.014959 0.026475 0.051643
2025-08-17 0.002219 0.003420 0.005363 0.008895 0.015544 0.028419 0.057868
2025-08-24 0.002092 0.003272 0.005215 0.008828 0.015817 0.029803 0.063185
2025-08-31 0.001937 0.003066 0.004953 0.008526 0.015595 0.030135 0.066110
2025-09-07 0.001849 0.002967 0.004868 0.008543 0.016006 0.031858 0.072790
2025-09-14 0.001814 0.002955 0.004935 0.008854 0.017054 0.035134 0.084219
2025-09-21 0.001709 0.002815 0.004760 0.008675 0.017043 0.036001 0.089392
2025-09-28 0.001613 0.002682 0.004589 0.008490 0.016999 0.036780 0.094508
2025-10-05 0.001547 0.002602 0.004510 0.008482 0.017346 0.038559 0.103017
2025-10-12 0.001515 0.002580 0.004538 0.008700 0.018232 0.041830 0.117036
2025-10-19 0.001448 0.002491 0.004431 0.008618 0.018408 0.043292 0.125650
2025-10-26 0.001395 0.002423 0.004361 0.008612 0.018763 0.045291 0.136686